Mer

69 publications

2026

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T. Garcia, L. Oms, A. Doglioli, X. Milhaud, D. Pommeret, M. Messié, P. Vandekerkhove, C. Lacour, G. Gregori

A statistical approach to unveil phytoplankton adaptation to ocean fronts

Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography

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X. Milhaud, D. Pommeret, Y. Salhi, P. Vanderkerkhove

admix: an R package for estimation, test and clustering in admixture models

HAL

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J.-L. Gouthon, X. Milhaud, J. Garrido

Accounting for temporal and spatial dependencies in multi-population forecasts: the Transformers approach

HAL

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M. Valla, X. Milhaud

Time-penalized trees: consistency results and simulations

HAL

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Some examples of using Semiparametric Mixture Models in Actuarial Science

1st ASTIN Bulletin Conference, ETH Zurich

2025

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J. Garrido, X. Milhaud, A. Olympio

The definition of a French actuarial climate index; one more step towards a European index

HAL

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M. Dotta, X. Milhaud, D. Pommeret

Detection of Atypical Behaviors Using Copulas

HAL

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J.-L. Gouthon, X. Milhaud

A Spatiotemporal Clustering Algorithm Combining Multiple Data Sources: Application to Mortality

HAL

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Lee-Carter type longevity models and climate impacts

MLISTRAL 2 Conference, CIRM

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Contamination models: the admix R package

RT MathRisk Conference, Paris

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Longevity and global warming

International Conference on Mathematics, Probability and Statistics (ICOMPS-25), Brazil

2024

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X. Milhaud, D. Pommeret, Y. Salhi, P. Vanderkerkhove

Contamination-source based K-sample clustering

Journal of Machine Learning Research

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X. Milhaud, D. Pommeret, Y. Salhi, P. Vanderkerkhove

Two-sample contamination model test

Bernoulli

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M. Valla, X. Milhaud

Including individual Customer Lifetime Value and competing risks in tree-based lapse management strategy

European Actuarial Journal

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P. Chatelain, X. Milhaud

Estimation and prediction with data quality indexes in linear regressions

Computational Statistics

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J.-L. Gouthon, X. Milhaud

Impact of heat waves on mortality: extension of longevity models to account for global warming

HAL

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Heat waves and longevity models

Seminaire Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium

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Clustering of contamination sources: a case study from Covid‐19 pandemic

Invited speaker at IX Workshop on Pensions and Insurance, Barcelona

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Heat waves and mortality: extension of longevity models to account for global warming

European Actuarial Journal Conference, Lisbon

2023

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Semiparametric estimation of the mixture proportion in admixture models

AFRIC Conference, Zimbabwe

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J. Garrido, X. Milhaud, A. Olympio

Risque climatique en assurance vie: exemples d outils actuariels pour son appréhension

22eme Congrès des Actuaires (Paris)

2022

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X. Milhaud, D. Pommeret, Y. Salhi, P. Vanderkerkhove

Semiparametric two-sample admixture components comparison test: the symmetric case

Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference

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Clustering contaminations

Machine Learning in Insurance Sector Targeted to Risk AnaLysis (MLISTRAL), CIRM

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Admixtures: estimation and test

11th Conference in Actuarial Science and Finance, Samos

2021

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Milhaud, X.

Hétérogénéité inobservable, volumétrie limitée et mutualisation

L’Actuariel

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O. Lopez, X. Milhaud

Individual reserving and nonparametric estimation of claim amounts subject to large reporting delays

Scandinavian Actuarial Journal

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Contamination model: estimation, testing and clustering

Séminaire I2M Marseille

2020

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Microlevel reserving in long-development business lines

OICA-WAKA Conference (Online)

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Truncation and reporting delays in reserving

7th SMIF Conference, Maresias (Brazil)

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Microlevel reserving with tree-based regression in presence of censoring and truncation

Invited talk at CASS Business School, London (UK)

2019

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O. Lopez, X. Milhaud, P.-E. Therond

A tree-based algorithm adapted to microlevel reserving and long-development claims

ASTIN Bulletin

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A tree-based algorithm adapted to claims with long development

IME Conference, Munich (Germany)

2018

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X. Milhaud, V. Poncelet, C. Saillard

Operational choices for risk aggregation in insurance: PSDization and SCR sensitivity

Risks

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X. Milhaud, C. Dutang

Lapse tables for lapse risk management in insurance: a competing risk approach

European Actuarial Journal

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Surrender tables for ALM in insurance, with competing risks

EAJ Conference, Université Catholique de Louvain (Belgique)

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Operational choices for risk aggregation in insurance: PSDization and SCR sensitivity

IME Conference, Sydney (Australie)

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Lapse risk management in insurance

ANR LoLitA Conference, Paris (France)

2017

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Microlevel-reserving with Machine Learning, a comparison

Colloquium AAI, Barcelone (Espagne)

2016

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O. Lopez, X. Milhaud, P. Therond

Tree-based censored regression with applications in insurance

Electronic Journal of Statistics

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F. Barsotti, X. Milhaud, Y. Salhi

Lapse risk in life insurance: correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics

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Weighted decision trees applied to reserving in insurance

EAJ Conference, Lyon (France)

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Tree-based estimators for censored observations with actuarial applications

12th ICOR, La Havana (Cuba)

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Stress tests for lapse risk: correlation and contagion among policyholders’ behaviours

Colloque CIRM Copules - Extremes - Actuariat, Marseille

2015

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Milhaud, X.

Arbres de classification et de regression

L’Actuariel

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Mass lapse scenario in insurance, the use of a dynamic contagion process

Séminaire Lyon-Lausanne L2

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Prediction of lifetimes by tree-based estimators

Longevity 11 Conference (Lyon)

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Rachats de contrats d’assurance et Solvency 2

Association Française de Gestion Actif-Passif

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Risque de rachat en assurance, quelques approches

Chaire risques systémiques (ACPR)

2014

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Surrenders: risk factors and modelling

Autorité du Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution

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Tree estimators in censored regression: application to reserving

EAJ Conference (Vienne)

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Selection of GLM mixtures with a clustering approach

MBC2 Workshop (Catane)

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Regression trees and duration models

Ecole d'été de l'Institut des Actuaires (Paris)

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Clustering with mixtures of GLM

46ème Journées de Statistique (Rennes)

2013

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Milhaud, X.

Exogenous and endogenous risk factors management to predict surrender behaviours

ASTIN Bulletin

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Whole life contract lifetime: prediction of lapses

IME Conference, Copenhague (Danemark)

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Surrenders in a competing risks framework, application with the [FG99] model

AFIR/ERM-PBSS-LIFE Colloquim, Lyon (France)

2012

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X. Milhaud

Mélanges de GLMs et nombre de composantes : application au risque de rachat en Assurance Vie

PhD Thesis, Université Lyon 1

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Modelling the heterogeneity of surrender behaviours by using GLM mixtures

ASTIN-AFIR-IAALS Congress, Mexico City (Mexico)

2011

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X. Milhaud

Segmentation et modélisation des comportements de rachat en Assurance Vie

Actuarial Thesis, Institut de Sciences Financières et d'Assurances, Université Lyon 1

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S. Loisel, X. Milhaud

From deterministic to stochastic surrender risk models: impact of correlation crises on economic capital

European Journal of Operational Research

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X. Milhaud, V. Maume-Deschamps, S. Loisel

Surrender triggers in Life Insurance: what main features affect the surrender behavior in a classical economic context?

Bulletin Français d’Actuariat

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GLM Mixture Models to manage the complexity of surrender's behaviour modelling

15ème Séminaire IME à Trieste, Italie

2010

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X. Milhaud, M.-P. Gonon, S. Loisel

Les comportements de rachat en Assurance Vie en régime de croisière et en période de crise

Risques

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Classification et prévisions du risque de rachat en Assurance Vie

Journées Modélisation Aléatoire et Statistique (MAS) à Bordeaux, France

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Le risque de rachat en Assurance-Vie

Ecole d'été de l'Institut des Actuaires (Summer school), Lyon, France

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Rachats et crises de corrélation

Séminaire Statistiques et Probabilités Appliquées à l'Assurance et la Finance (AST&RISK), Lyon, France

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Déterminants des comportements de rachat

Workshop ED SEG, Lyon, France

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Prévision des rachats en Assurance Vie épargne

Séminaire de la Société Française de Statistiques (SFdS), Marseille, France

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Cas pratiques et retour d'expérience de l'utilisation des copules en Assurance-Vie

Séminaire Sépia de l'Institut des Actuaires, Paris, France